Posted: 28.11.19 at 14:49 by Daniel Mumby - Local Democracy Reporter
The Wells Constituency, which includes Glastonbury, would not change hands in the general election, according to the latest YouGov poll.
YouGov has published its MRP poll following a week of interviews with the UK public, and has made its prediction for how the election on December 12 may play out.
In the Wells Constituency, the Conservatives will remain on 51 per cent of the vote, identical to their 2017 result.
The Liberal Democrats will climb just over two points to 40 per cent, with Labour falling nearly four points to eight per cent.
In Somerset, its findings suggest all five seats should remain blue – though anything can happen with two weeks to go until polling stations open.
The YouGov poll provides an estimate result for each of the 632 seats in England, Scotland and Wales (excluding the 18 seats in Northern Ireland).
It is based on information obtained from more than 100,000 interviews in the week up to November 26, and also includes analysis of “key demographics, past voting behaviour, and the likely turnout among different demographic groups”.
Nationally, it predicts the Conservatives will win 43 per cent of the vote – roughly the same as in 2017 – and 359 seats, giving them a majority of 68.
Labour will take 32 per cent of the vote (a drop of around nine percentage points) and will lose 51 seats, taking their tally to 211.
The Lib Dems will take 14 per cent of the vote and gain one seat, taking their total to 13, while the SNP will take 43 seats.
The Green Party will remain on one seat, while the Brexit Party will finish empty handed.
Polling stations will be open on December 12 from 7am to 10pm.